Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Sofiia Nagornaia Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In terms of second serve performance over the past six months, Ekaterina Tupitsyna has won 31.91% of points, whereas Sofiia Nagornaia has a higher success rate with 42.34%. Could this indicate an edge for Nagornaia?
• Examining return game statistics, Tupitsyna excels by winning 56.34% of her opponent's second serve points, outperforming Nagornaia's 44.86%. How might this proficiency impact the match outcome?
• Both players are closely matched in first serve returns with Tupitsyna at 34.04% and Nagornaia at 32.44%. This similarity might result in a tightly contested match.
• Under pressure tests reveal Tupitsyna's ability to save 48.57% of breakpoints, compared to Nagornaia at 42.98%. Could Tupitsyna's resilience during crucial moments be decisive?
• Looking at overall performance, Tupitsyna has a match win percentage of 50.00% over the last year, while Nagornaia is slightly behind with 46.67%.
• Surface preference could be a game-changer with Tupitsyna showing versatility on Clay, winning 50% of her matches, similar to Nagornaia’s 50% on I.hard surfaces.
• Both players have played primarily within the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, each winning half of their matches, indicating a level battleground relative to event levels.
• There's a stark contrast in opponent quality, as Tupitsyna faced opponents with an average rank of 581, which is significantly lower than Nagornaia’s 217.73.
• When the match extends to a deciding set, Tupitsyna's flawless 100% win rate tips the scale against Nagornaia’s 50% success rate.

Editorial Prediction (October 21, 2025, UTC):

When analyzing the comparative statistics, Sofiia Nagornaia demonstrates superior performance in second serve points which is crucial for sustaining rallies and gaining an advantage during service games.

However, Ekaterina Tupitsyna has shown a significant edge in return games, particularly against second serves, which may allow her to dictate play and accumulate break opportunities.

Additionally, Tupitsyna exhibits remarkable fortitude under pressure, reflected in her breakpoint saving capabilities, and boasts an impeccable record in deciding sets over the past year.

Taking into account these elements combined with her ability to perform well across different surfaces, Ekaterina Tupitsyna is likely to hold a slight edge and emerge victorious in the upcoming tennis match against Sofiia Nagornaia.